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  June 2004
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June 2004

by edward last modified 17-08-07 22:17
:: 1 June 2004-Newsletter :: From: Populationfirst [newsletter@populationfirst.org]
Sent: Tuesday, June 01, 2004 3:05 PM
To: bobby.sista@populationfirst.org
Subject: Newsletter-June 2004




A Communications Initiative for Sustainable Human Development in India

E-NEWSLETTER Second Issue 1 June 2004


Are NPP2000 Goals Beyond Reach
As the new government settles in office at the centre, it must soon turn its attention to where India stands on issues related to health and population. It was four years ago that country got its first rights based National Population Policy, now popularly known as the NPP2000. But while NPP2000 set the national goals, the country now faces glaring demographic differences across its various regions, most notably the gap between some achievements in the Southern States against stubborn fertility rates in the Northern States.

As the Secretary for Family Welfare Mr. Prasanna K Hota recently noted: [Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand., Uttaranchal, Orissa] will in total account for 56% of population increase in this [1996-2016] period. Family planning and health services in these States will have to be strengthened on a priority basis. The population scenario of India shall largely depend on fertility reduction in these States. [Full speech at http://www.iipsindia.org/hota.pdf ]
If programmes and services are not delivered to these States on a priority basis, there remains a real danger that India might miss the NPP medium term objective of bringing Total Fertility Rate to replacement levels by 2010 and population stabilisation by 2045.

Certainly, there is a school of thought that India might indeed have to rewrite these timelines.

In a key note address at a symposium organised earlier this year on the role of Private Sector in Population Stabilisation, Mr. Robert Clay Director Population, Health & Nutrition at the United States Agency for International Development [USAID], said: If the current trend continues, it is expected that an Indian couple would have only about two children by 2020. In other words, India would reach replacement level fertilityten years later than the goal envisaged in the NPP Therefore, given the current trend, Indias population is expected to stabilise around 2055-2060, which is about 10-15 years later than what is envisaged in the NPP. [See box] The basis for Mr. Clay statement appears to be the continuing high fertility in the Hindi belt and the Herculean task of improving the coverage and quality of family planning services in the Hindi belt.

However, not all agree that the goals have been missed already.

Said Dr. Ramakrishna Reddy, an award winning surgeon who has worked on population programmes: There is no cause for alarm. As a technical expert, I can say that we can achieve Replacement Level Fertility even earlier, by 2008 or 2009, provided we have a definite direction for implementation

Dr. Reddy cites the examples of Tamil Nadu, which reached Replacement Level Fertility in three years from 1982 to 1984, and Andhra Pradesh, which did the same from 1995 to 1997 through sheer political will. These states have been successful in mopping up the demand for contraceptive services through effective family planning programmes and were able to achieve the goals of replacement level fertility earlier.

According to Dr.Reddy, the last two years have seen many a State and the Centre caught in election mode, and so programmes were deprived of the zeal and political push that was required to make them work beyond the regular, administrative level.

Dr.Reddy believes that the pace has been positive but not enough all along. m optimistic. But if we slip now, we get into trouble, he said.

Political determination to implement the family planning programmes efficiently, filling up the infrastructure shortfalls and providing appropriate technical support to the programmes are the three essential inputs, according to Dr. Reddy.
The following is an excerpt from an address by Mr.Robert Clay, Director Population, Health & Nutrition at the United States Agency for International Development [USAID] . An agency of the US Government, USAID has been supporting important health and population programmes in India.

This was part of Mr.Clays keynote address to the Symposium on Population Stabilisation: Role of Civil Society organized earlier this year in New Delhi by the Confederation of Indian Industry, or CII
In order to accelerate the pace of the demographic transition in India, it is imperative to note the wide variations that exist within the country. Due to various factors including higher female literacy, greater exposure to mass media, concerted efforts to expand access to quality services and strong political commitment, the southern states have made far greater progress in fertility decline than their northern counterparts.

If the current trend continues, it is expected that an Indian couple would have only about two children by 2020. In other words, India would reach replacement level fertility, the level of fertility at which a couple has only two children to replace themselves, by 2020, ten years later than the goal envisaged in the National Population Policy. However, due to a large young population base, even after India reaches replacement level fertility, the population will continue to increase as the cohorts of young people will pass through childbearing. As a result, it will take an additional 35 to 40 years for the population of India to stabilize after reaching replacement fertility. Therefore, given the current trend, Indias population is expected to stabilize around 2055-2060, which is about 10-15 years later than what is envisaged in the National Population Policy.

Today, there are about 170 million married couples in the reproductive age group in India. The family planning needs of 27 million couples are not being met especially in the four large states of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. If the unmet need for contraception was adequately addressed, India will reach replacement fertility, i.e. each couple will have only two children.

Another issue, although current use of contraception has increased, there is need for considerable improvement in the coverage and quality of family planning services, especially in the Hindi belt. In order to accelerate the pace of the demographic transition, it is imperative to reach out to the couples whose family planning needs are not being currently met and provide choices to have the desired number of children. This requires a Herculean effort.

The government cannot alone meet this challenge; the private sector has to shoulder equal responsibility, for increased progress towards population stabilization and fulfilling Indias dream of smaller, healthier families with better-educated children having expanded opportunities. I strongly believe that the public-private partnership is critical to the task of achieving population stabilization.
However, it may be noted that while the Southern States have achieved Replacement Level Fertility, they fare poorly on other related indicators like Infant Mortality Rate and child nutrition status which are significant for improving the quality of life. The specific needs and focus required in these States will be different from the inputs needed for the Northern States and the gap is something that a pan all population policy might not be able to address. There is, therefore, an urgent need to reframe the population policies in these states to address quality of life issues while not slackening the contraceptive service delivery.

While TFR is an important goal of NPP, it should not be the sole criterion that drives the population programmes. As Mr. A R. Nanda, India former Health Secretary observed: population stabilization is not merely about numbers; it has to be looked at in the context of wider socio-economic development. It does not matter if in the process we dont stabilize by 2045; it could be achieved by 2050 or 2060. But what is of greater concern is how we approach the issue of population stabilisation. [http://www.india-seminar.com/2002/511/511%20a.r.%20nanda.htm ]

Clearly, this is a critical time which will decide whether we meet or fall short of NPP2000 goals. The challenge before the new government would be to meet demographic goals without compromising on other health and social indicators. To do this, there must be a re-look at the path already traversed, and agreement on benchmarks that would help us navigate the future. After all, how can we talk of bringing Total Fertility Rate to replacement levels by 2010 without having a year by year progress chart to understand just how well we are walking the chosen path to population stabilisation.
Your Response
As New Ministers Take Charge, A Re-look At The Manifesto They Must Implement

Dr. Anbumani Ramdoss
India's new Minister for Health & Family Welfare
Dr. Anbumani Ramdoss, a suave 36-year-old doctor is India new Minister for Health & Family Welfare. My aim is that no life should be lost for want of medical care, Mr.Ramdoss said soon after taking charge on May 25. In an interview, he said Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Uttaranchal and Chattisgarh would receive his special attention for population programmes.

His junior Minister is Ms.Panabaka Lakshmi, Minister of State for Health & Family Welfare, from the Congress party which leads the new coalition government at the Centre.

Dr. Ramdoss is not from the Congress party but should have no difficulty in working to implement the Congress party manifesto in so far as health and population issues are concerned. While the government works on a Common Minimum Programme, we do not expect much of a tussle over the goals and programmes of the ministry for health and family welfare.
Here is what the Congress promised on health and population in its manifesto document:
  • The Congress will raise public spending on health to at least 2-3% of GDP, with the focus on primary health care over the next five years and to around 5% of GDP over the next decade.
  • on present reckoning, four-five states of India will be unable to reach TFR of 2.1 by 2010. The Congress will take the lead in replicating the success of other states in those states where population growth continues unabated.
  • A sharply targeted mobilization effort will be mounted in the 150-odd districts that still have unacceptably high levels of fertility.
  • Nutrition programmes, for the girl child particularly, will be expanded on a significant scale.
  • A national cooked nutritious mid-day meal scheme will be introduced in primary and secondary schools across the country. The Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS) will be universalized to provide for a functional anganwadi in every settlement and full coverage, especially children below age of six.
  • A national scheme of health insurance for families living below the poverty line will be proposed.
  • The Congress will introduce a new community anchored health worker scheme and implement it with the involvement of peoples organizations and panchayati raj institutions.
The Congress party manifesto also includes the partys stand on various other issues which have a bearing on health and population programmes:
  • raise public spending in education to at least 6% of GDP with at least half of this amount being spent in primary and secondary schools. A cess will he proposed on all central taxes to finance the commitment to universalize access to quality basic education.
  • Special schemes (under PDS) to reach food grains to this section through panchayats will be launched. Antyodaya cards for all households at risk of hunger will be introduced. Grain banks in chronically food- scarce areas will he established.
  • Stern measures will be taken to ensure the elimination of female foeticide and infanticide.
  • Marriage registration will be made mandatory.
  • Village women and their associations will be empowered to assume responsibility for all development schemes relating to drinking water supply, sanitation, primary education and health, nutrition, biogas, maintenance of water pumps and bore wells and farm forestry.
COMMUNITY MOBILISATION WORKSHOP




click to view Population First works at the grass roots along two aspects. One is to help improve service delivery by working with health service providers and building their capacities to provide quality service.
On the other hand, we also work at the community level wherein we seek to empower the communities to address the health issues and also demand quality health services form the State health system an essential ingredient for efficient health service delivery.
Community mobilisation is undertaken through participatory micro planning processes, under which the facilitators help the community members identify and assess the problems, and help find solutions through association or networking at the village level. By forming coordination committees at the village level, the entire process from the initiative to responsibility for implementation as well as the credit for success, lies with the community.

The first pilot community mobilisation workshop began in Nandgaon village of Kinhavali PHC area on May 25. The five day workshop will involve house to house survey, village mapping, focus group discussions and development of action plans. The workshop seeks to involve and impact the entire village population of around 800 people. The focus is on maternal and child health, adolescent sexual and reproductive health, hygiene and sanitation.

A second workshop is scheduled for early June in the Dolkhamb PHC area. More....
Response to the cover story in the May newsletter, which discussed the then Deputy Prime Minister Lal Krishna Advanis suggestions that India should have a two childnorm.
George Jacob writes Mr.Advani is making impractical suggestionsWhat exactly does he mean by Public Offices? If he means a peon in the Community Development Office, it is cruel to throw a poor man out of his familys livelihood, just because he did not observe the DPMs norm. The norm is violated where women are not educated and are not in a position to contribute to the family expenses except through household work and bearing heirs to her husband. Until this is set right, fascist methods will only cause infanticide. Given the unenviable record of our home ministry in keeping corrupt policemen from top to bottom, not one case will surface. Let the inept government not take its frustration out on innocent just born infants. The need is to improve the root cause, educate your women and create the right kind of employment
POPULATION FIRST
Population First is a communications based initiative that embraces the government objective of achieving population stabilisation by the year 2045. Working to support the governments programmes, Population First builds the communication foundations for partnership between government, civil society, the corporate sector and the media, creating a common ground for the sharing views and perspectives that will help lead change in society. The whole idea evolves around the belief that empowering women to exercise their rights helps achieve social development and provides a refreshing and appropriate framework for addressing issues related to health and population. A focus area of the organisation is reproductive health, which is closely connected with decisions on family size and must be seen within the context of equal rights for women and children. In this endeavour, Population First counts on the responsible participation of the community, a response which we hope to kick start at least in part by our communications initiatives. More....



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Out of the 550 million working poor in the world, an estimated 330 million, or 60 per cent, are women. Source: Unfpa